Twenty-Fifth Anniversary Keynote Address
Twenty-Fifth Anniversary Panel Discussion
Introductory Tutorials
Advanced Tutorials
State-of-the-Art Reviews
Software/Modelware Tutorials
Analysis Methodology
Random Variate Generation I
Efficient Rare Event Simulation via Importance Sampling
Optimizing over Discrete Parameters
Random Optimization Methods
Sensitivity Analysis and Optimization
Experimental Designs for Simulation Optimization
Experimental Designs for Simulation Output Analysis
Confidence Intervals for Steady-State Performance
Random Variate Generation II
Modeling Methodology
Parallel Simulation I
Distributed Simulation Based on Time Warp
Object-Oriented Simulation
Parallel Simulation II
Simulation Environments
Visual and Graphical Simulation
Panel Discussion
Verification and Validation
Knowledge-Based Simulation
Manufacturing Applications
Nontraditional Applications in Manufacturing
Modeling in Electronics Manufacturing
Wafer Fabrication
Manufacturing Simulation in Japan
Material Handling Systems
Real Time Control
Computer Integrated Manufacturing
Interfacing Simulation to Other Software
Panel Discussion
General Applications: Public Systems Models
Health Policy and Clinical Practice I
Health Policy and Clinical Practice II
Health Services Delivery
Simulation for Military Decision Support
Panel Discussion
Modeling, Simulation, and Wargaming
Issues in Airlift Simulation
Natural Resource Models
Public Service System Models
General Applications: Service Systems Models
General Transportation Applications I
Computer System Performance Models
Simulation Applications in the Chemical Process Industries
Simulation Applications in Construction Engineering and Management
General Transportation Applications II
Air Transportation Applications
Applications of Performance Improvement or Optimization Methodology
Communications Systems

Twenty-Fifth Anniversary Keynote Address

The Winter Simulation Conference: Celebrating Twenty-Five Years of Progress
Robert C. Crain, Joseph M. Sussman, Thomas J. Schriber, James O. Henriksen, and Stephen D. Roberts

Twenty-Fifth Anniversary Panel Discussion

The Winter Simulation Conference: Perspectives of the Founding Fathers
Michael Araten, Harold G. Hixson, Austin C. Hoggatt, Philip J. Kiviat, Michael F. Morris, Arnold Ockene, Julian Reitman, Joseph M. Sussman, and Joseph M. Sussman

Introductory Tutorials

Introduction to Simulation
Robert E. Shannon
Distribution Fitting and Random Number and Variate Generation
Russell C. H. Cheng
Modelling
John S. Carson
Simulation Languages and Simulators
Jerry Banks
Simulation Output Analysis
David Goldsman
Validation and Verification of Simulation Models
Robert G. Sargent
Conducting a Successful Simulation Project
Kenneth J. Musselman
Selling Simulation and Simulation Results
Randall P. Sadowski
Designing Efficient Simulation Experiments
Barry L. Nelson

Advanced Tutorials

The TES Methodology: Modeling Empirical Stationary Time Series
Benjamin Melamed, Jon R. Hill, and David Goldsman
Object-Oriented Modeling and Simulation with C++
Jeffrey A. Joines, Kenneth A. Powell, Jr., and Stephen D. Roberts
SIMPACK: Getting Started with Simulation Programming in C and C++
Paul A. Fishwick
Simulation of Advanced Manufacturing Systems
Gerald W. Evans and William E. Biles
Simulation of Communications Networks
Averill M. Law and Michael G. McComas
Factor Screening of Multiple Responses
Lori S. Cook
Databases and Artificial Intelligence: Enabling Technologies for Simulation Modeling
Martha A. Centeno and Charles R. Standridge
Advanced Output Analysis for Simulation
Andrew F. Seila
A Tutorial on Simulation Optimization
Farhad Azadivar
Software/Modelware Application Requirements (Panel)
David Withers, Phil Cohen, Laura Giussani, Tom Schuppe, and Marvin Seppanen
Object Oriented Software for Automatic Inference
Ronald S. Reagan and Satya N. Mishra
Microprocessor-Oriented Expert Systems for Statistical Analysis
Turkan K. Gardenier

State-of-the-Art Reviews

Perturbation Analysis: Concepts and Algorithms
Yu-Chi Ho
Graphical Model Structures for Discrete Event Simulation
Lee W. Schruben
State of the Art in Parallel Simulation
Richard Fujimoto and David Nicol
Experimental Design Issues in Simulation with Examples from Semiconductor Manufacturing
Sarah J. Hood and Peter D. Welch
New Methods for Pseudorandom Number and Pseudorandom Vector Generation
Harald Niederreiter
Generation of Random Objects
Luc Devroye
Gradient Estimation for Regenerative Processes
Paul Glasserman and Peter W. Glynn
Metamodels for Simulation Input-Output Relations
Russell R. Barton
Distribution Selection and Validation
Stephen G. Vincent and W. David Kelton
Testing Random Number Generators
Pierre L'Ecuyer
Graphical Techniques for Output Analysis
David Alan Grier

Software/Modelware Tutorials

SIMSCRIPT II.5 and SIMGRAPHICS Tutorial
Edward C. Russell
AutoMod
Van B. Norman
Autostat
Van B. Norman
Object-Oriented Network Performance Prediction
Jeffry Jones, Robb Mills, and John Goble
Perspectives on Simulation Using GPSS
Thomas J. Schriber
Business Process Re-Engineering
Jeffry Jones
Simulation Studio
Springer W. Cox
Introduction to SLAM II and SLAMSYSTEM
Jean J. O'Reilly and Nora K. Ryan
Building a Simulator wit GPSS/H
Douglas S. Smith, Daniel T. Brunner, and Robert C. Crain
Manufacturing Decision Making with FACTOR
William R. Lilegdon
Proof Animation: The General Purpose Animator
James O. Henriksen and Nancy J. Earle
UniFit II: Total Support for Simulation Input Modeling
Stephen G. Vincent and Averill M. Law
Introduction to SIMAN/Cinema
Sherri A. Conrad, David T. Sturrock, and Jacob P. Poorte
Modeling Priority Queues with Entity Lists: A SIGMA Tutorial
Lee W. Schruben
The Micromodels Shooting Process
Ricardo F. Garzia
Arena: A SIMAN/Cinema-Based Hierarchical Modeling System
C. Dennis Pegden and Deborah A. Davis
Using Mogul 2.0 to Produce Simulation Models and Animations of Complex Computer Systems and Networks
Peter L. Haigh
ProModel Tutorial
Charles R. Harrell and Ken Turnay
MedModel/ServiceModel Tutorial
Lucien F. Keller, Jr. and Charles Harrell
The Telecom Framework: A Simulation Environment for Telecommunications Modeling
Greg Lornow
SIMSTAT: A Tool for Simulation Analysis
Warren E. Blaisdell and Jorge Haddock
GPSS/VI
Duane Ball

Analysis Methodology

Random Variate Generation I

Fast Generation of Low Discrepancy Points Based on Fibonacci Polynomials
Shu Tezuka and Masanori Fushimi
Fast and Reliable Random-Number Generation
Aaldert Compagner
Analysis of Add-With-Carry and Subtract-With-Borrow Generators
Shu Tezuka and Pierre L'Ecuyer

Efficient Rare Event Simulation via Importance Sampling

Application of Fast Simulation Techniques to Systems with Correlated Noise
Michael R. Frater
Smoothing Methods for Variance Reduction in Simulation of Markov Chains
Sigrun Andradottir, Daniel P. Heyman, and Teunis J. Ott
Simultaneous and Efficient Simulation of Highly Dependable Systems with Different Underlying Distributions
Philip Heidelberger, Victor F. Shahabuddin, and Perwez Shahabuddin

Optimizing over Discrete Parameters

Effect of Correlated Estimation Errors in Ordinal Optimization
Mei Deng, Y. C. Ho, and J. Q. Hu
Correlation of Markov Chains Simulated in Parallel
Paul Glasserman and Pirooz Vakili
Discrete Optimization in Simulation: A Method and Application
Sigrun Andradottir

Random Optimization Methods

Automatic Learning: Theorems for Concurrent Simulation and Optimization
Sidney Yakowitz
Theory and Application of Annealing Algorithms for Continuous Optimization
Saul B. Gelfand, Peter C. Doerschuk, and Mohamed Nahhas-Mohandes
Uniting Probabilistic Methods for Optimization
Bennett Fox

Sensitivity Analysis and Optimization

Simulation Optimization of (s,S) Inventory Systems
Michael C. Fu and Kevin J. Healy
On Optimal Choice of Reference Parameters in the Likelihood Ratio Method
Reuven Y. Rubinstein and Alexander Shapiro
Sensitivity Analysis of Discrete Event Systems with Autocorrelated Inputs
Benjamin Melemed and Reuven Y. Rubinstein

Experimental Designs for Simulation Optimization

Using Central Composite Designs in Simulation Experiments
Jeffrey D. Tew
Sequential Experimental Designs for Simulation Metamodeling
Joan M. Donohue, Ernest C. Houck, and Raymond H. Myers
Variance Reallocation in Taguchi's Robust Design Framework
Lee W. Schruben, Paul J. Sanchez, Susan M. Sanchez, and Veronica A. Czitrom

Experimental Designs for Simulation Output Analysis

Latin Hypercube Sampling as a Tool in Uncertainty Analysis of Computer Models
Michael D. McKay
The Spatial Correlation Function Approach to Response Surface Estimation
Toby J. Mitchell and Max D. Morris
Variance Reduction for Quantile Estimation via Correlation Induction
Athanassios N. Avramidis

Confidence Intervals for Steady-State Performance

Evaluation of Tests for Initial-Condition Bias
Charles R. Cash, Barry L. Nelson, J. Mark Long, David G. Dippold, and William P. Pollard
Confidence Intervals for Univariate Discrete-Event Simulation Output Using the Kalman Filter
Randall B. Howard, Mark A. Gallagher, Kenneth W. Bauer, Jr., and Peter S. Maybeck
Run Length Control Using Parallel Spectral Method
Kimmo E. E. Raatikainen

Random Variate Generation II

Efficient Methods for Generating Some Exponentially Tilted Random Variates
Marvin K. Nakayama
Simulation of Poisson Processes with Trigonometric Rates
Huifen Cheng and Bruce W. Schmeiser
Higher-Order Cumulant Spectral-Based Statistical Tests of Pseudo-Random Variate Generators
John W. Dalle Molle, Melvin J. Hinich, and Douglas J. Morrice

Modeling Methodology

Parallel Simulation I

MIMD Parallel Simulation of Circuit-Switched Communication Networks
David Nicol, Albert Greenberg, and Boris Lubachevsky
Transparent Optimization of Overheads in Optimistic Simulations
Rajive L. Bagrodia and Wen-Toh Liao
Making Parallel Simulations Go Fast
Paul F. Reynolds, Jr., Carmen M. Pancerella, and Sudhir Srinivasan

Distributed Simulation Based on Time Warp

Replicated Objects in Time Warp Simulations
Divyakant Agrawal and Jonathan R. Agre
U.S. Army ModSim on Jade's TimeWarp
Dirk Baezner, Chuck Rohs, and Harry Jones
A Distributed, Object-Oriented Communication Network Simulation Testbed
M. Scott Corson

Object-Oriented Simulation

Design and Implementation of a Highly Reusable Modeling and Simulation Framework for Discrete Part Manufacturing Systems
Hemant Bhuskute, Manoj N. Duse, Jagannath T. Gharpure, David B. Pratt, Manjunath Kamath, and Joe H. Mize
Object Orientation and Three Phase Simulation
Michael Pidd
Hierarchical, Modular Concepts Applied to an Object-Oriented Simulation Model Development Environment
Joel J. Luna

Parallel Simulation II

Approximate Time-Parallel Simulation of Queueing Systems with Losses
Jain J. Wang and Marc Abrams
Parallel Simulation Using Conservative Time Windows
Rassul Ayani and Hassan Rajaei
Processor Allocation in Parallel Battlefield Simulation
Narsingh Deo, Muralidhar Medidi, and Sushil Prasad

Simulation Environments

The Simulation Model Development Environment: An Overview
Osman Balci and Richard E. Nance
The Computer Aided Simulation Modeling Environment: An Overview
Ray J. Paul
Requirements for a Repository-Based Simulation Environment
Tuncer I. Ören, Douglas G. King, Louis G. Birta, and Martin Hitz

Visual and Graphical Simulation

Findings from Behavioral Research in Visual Interactive Simulation
Robert M. O'Keefe and Peter C. Bell
A Framework for Designing an Animated Simulation System Based on Model-Animator Scheduler Paradigm
James T. Lin, Kuang-Chau Yeh, and Liang-Chyau Sheu
Model Reusability in a Graphical Simulation Package
Betty J. Bortscheller and Emilie Saulnier

Panel Discussion

Discrete Event Simulation Modeling: Directions for the '90s
Ashvin Radiya, Paul A. Fishwick, Richard E. Nance, Jeff Rothenberg, and Robert G. Sargent

Verification and Validation

Building Correct Simulation Models is Difficult
Enver Yücesan and Sheldon H. Jacobson
The Scientific Method of Choosing Model Fidelity
Michael P. Bailey and William G. Kemple
A Software Mechanism to Enhance Simulation Model Validity
Gaynor Legge and Dana L. Wyatt

Knowledge-Based Simulation

An Investigation of a Standard Simulation-Knowledge Interface
Carol S. Russell, Adel S. Elmaghraby, and James H. Graham
ISLE - Intelligent Scalable Logistics Environment
Lisa Sokol, Steven Geyer, Robert Lasken, and Katherine Murphy
Knowledge-Based Simulation to Assist in System Design Identification
Nantawan Kwanjai and Rosemary Wild

Manufacturing Applications

Nontraditional Applications in Manufacturing

The Timken Company's Gambrinus Thermal Treatment Facility Scheduling System
Michael C. Cheselka
Simulation of Engineering Design Change Approval Process
Subramanian Prakash and Joel Schlotthauer
Realtime Operations Scheduling for Flexible Manufacturing Cells
J.S. Dhingra, K. L. Musser, and G. L. Blankenship

Modeling in Electronics Manufacturing

Modeling Final Assembly and Test Processes in the Semiconductor Industry
J. David Liljegren
Simulation Issues in Electronics Manufacturing
Ricki G. Ingalls and Carol Eckersley
An Integrated Environment for Modeling Large Scale Electronics Manufacturing
Michael G. Ketcham

Wafer Fabrication

Development of Generic Simulation Models to Evaluate Wafer Fabrication Cluster Tools
Neal G. Pierce and Michael J. Drevna
Supporting Semiconductor Manufacturing Simulation Tools Using a Structured Data Model
Susan S. Baum and Peter G. Glassey
Modeling the Lot Selection Process in Semiconductor Photolithography Processing
Thomas C. McGuigan

Manufacturing Simulation in Japan

A Manufacturing-Oriented Simulation Package to Support Systems Planning and Its Operation
Shigeki Umeda
Simulation Through Explicit State Description and Its Application to Semiconductor Fab Operation
Mutsumi Fujihara and Kiyoshi Yoneda
Development of a Simulation-Based Planning System for a Flexible Manufacturing System
Susumu Morito, Keun Hyung Lee, Kiyohisa Mizoguichi, and Hiroshi Awane

Material Handling Systems

Simulation of Material Delivery Systems with Dolly Trains
Vadivelu Jeyabalan and Norman C. Otto
Insights into Carrier Control: A Simulation of a Power and Free Conveyor Through an Automotive Paint Shop
David W. Graehl
The Approach to Designing a Future Pharmaceutical Manufacturing Facility (Using SIMIAN and AutoMod)
Carol A. Park and Ty Getz

Real Time Control

Real-Time Simulation for Decision Support in Continuous Flow Manufacturing Systems
Paul G. McConnell and D. J. Medeiros
Task and Resource Allocation via Auctioning
Dharmaraj Veeramani
Petri Net Based Simulation of Controls for a Computer-Integrated Assembly Cell
Kelwyn A. D'Souza and Suresh K. Khator

Computer Integrated Manufacturing

Analyzing System Efficiencies/Capacities in a Closed-Loop Manufacturing Cell
Gary V. Nordlund and Randall P. Sadowski
Simulation of a Smart Card-Based Manufacturing System
S. Manivannan, Chen Zhou, M. Bullington, and S. Narasimhan
Expanded Simulation Studies to Evaluate Tool Delivery Systems in an FMC
Lisa Marie Dullum and Wayne J. Davis

Interfacing Simulation to Other Software

Converting Simulation Data to Comparative Income Statements
L. Leslie Gardner, Mary E. Grant, and Laurie J. Rolston
Integrating Simulations with CAD Tools for Effective Facility Layout Evaluation
Ken Tumay
Using Animation to Enhance a Marine-Terminal Monte Carlo Simulator
Rodney W. Cyr

Panel Discussion

Simulation Practices in Manufacturing
Van. B Norman, James H. Henry, Christopher C. Funke, Frank Gudan, Kenneth Main, and David Rucker

General Applications: Public Systems Models

Health Policy and Clinical Practice I

Screening for Abdominal Aortic Aneurysms: Time-Based Modeling for Public Policy
Dennis G. Fryback and Paul S. Frame
Simulation Modeling of Lymphocyte Proliferation and Lymphoma Development in Immune Compromised Patients
Leon B. Ellwein and David T. Purtilo
Asthma Dynamics and Medical Amelioration
Meyer Katzper

Health Policy and Clinical Practice II

Markov Process-Based Monte Carlo Simulation: A Tool for Modeling Complex Disease and its Application to the Timing of Liver Transplantation
Mark S. Roberts
A Monte-Carlo Based Simulation Network Model for a Chronic Progressive Disease: The Case of Diabetic Retinopathy
Joseph K. Canner, Yen-Pin Chiang, and Jonathan C. Javitt
Simulation Medical Decision Trees with Random Variable Patterns
Robert S. Dittus and Robert W. Klein

Health Services Delivery

An Emergency Department Simulation Model Used to Evaluate Alternative Nurse Staffing and Patient Population Scenarios
Margaret A. Draeger
The Use of Simulation to Evaluate Automated Equipment for a Clinical Processing Laboratory
Gene C. Dankbar, Jane L. Shellum, and Kevin E. Bennet
Simulation of a Hospital's Surgical Suite and Critical Care Area
Julie C. Lowery

Simulation for Military Decision Support

Improving Decision Support for Air Force Resource Allocation
Gregory S. Parnell and Daniel P. Barker
Analysis of Material Handling Equipment for Maritime Prepositioning Ships (MPS) Instream Offload
John D. Sumner and Keeborn Kang
Comparison of Models: Ex Post Facto Validation/Acceptance?
David A. Diener, Heston R. Hicks, and Lawrence L. Long

Panel Discussion

Operational Art in Military Simulation
Glenn A. Kent, Bradley C. Hosmer, W. Leon Goodson, Clayton J. Thomas, and Paul F. Auclair

Modeling, Simulation, and Wargaming

Field Expedient Gaming: Effective Wargaming When the Shooting Starts
James F. Dunnigan
Force Allocation through Constrained Optimization of Stochastic Response Surfaces
R. Garrison Harvey, Kenneth W. "Bauer, Jr.", and Joseph R. Litko
An Overview of Airland Combat Modeling and Simulation
Michael W. Garrambone

Issues in Airlift Simulation

Impact of Theater Airlifter Characteristics on Future Theater Airlift System Productivity
Paul Pappas, Paul F. Auclair, and Steven J. Wourms
C-141 Depot Maintenance: Using Simulation to Define Resource Requirements
R. Garrison Harvey, David V. McElveen, Peter H. Miyares, and Thomas F. Schuppe
Simulating the Air Mobility Command Channel Cargo System
W. Brand Carter and Joseph R. Litko

Natural Resource Models

Simulating Processes in Nonpoint Source Pollution
Walter G. Knisel, Ralph A. Leonard, and Frank M. Davis
Simulating Weed Scouting and Weed Control Decision Making to Evaluate Scouting Plans
Lori J. Wiles, Gail G. Wilkerson, and Harvey J. Goldsman
Use of Simulation Method for Surface Water Quality Data
Tiao J. Chang and Rabah Y. Odeh

Public Service System Models

Effects of Time-Varied Arrival Rates: An Investigation in Emergency Ambulance Service Systems
Zhiwei Zhu, Mark A. McKnew, and Jim Lee
A Simulation Model for the Flow of Civil Lawsuits
Minghui Yang, Mingjian Yuan, and Ali K. Gunal
Service System Modeling of Field Offices within a Government Agency
Julian A. Swedish

General Applications: Service Systems Models

General Transportation Applications I

Modeling Concepts for Intelligent Vehicle Highway Systems (IVHS) Applications
Victor J. K. Hsin and Paul T. R. Wang
A Simulation Study of Traffic Control Procedures at Highway Work Zones
Nader Afshar and Farhad Azadivar
Taxi Management and Route Control: A Systems Study and Simulation Experiment
William A. Bailey, Jr. and Thomas D. Clark, Jr.

Computer System Performance Models

Representation of User Transaction Processing Behavior with a State Transition Matrix
William S. Keezer, Andrew P. Fenic, and Barry L. Nelson
Simulation of Database Transaction Management Protocols: Hybrids and Variants of Time Warp
John A. Miller
Using Simulation to Evaluate Analytic Models of Memory Queueing
Charles E. Knadler, Jr. and Ralph M. May

Simulation Applications in the Chemical Process Industries

Process Simulation: Successes and Failures
Ronald C. Morris
A Combined Simulation/Optimization Approach to Process Plant Design
J. F. Faccenda and R. F. Tenga
A Simulation-Based Decision Support System for a Specialty Chemicals Production Plant
George S. Bernstein, Eric C. Carlson, Richard M. Felder, and Roger E. Bokeny

Simulation Applications in Construction Engineering and Management

State of the Art in Construction Simulation
Simaan M. AbouRizk, Daniel W. Halpin, and James D. Lutz
Facilitating Simulation Model Development for Construction Engineers
Ali Touran
Graphical Object-Oriented Discrete-Event Simulation System
Liang Y. Liu and Photios G. Ioannou

General Transportation Applications II

TPASS - Dynamic, Discrete-Event Simulation and Animation of a Toll Plaza
Robert T. Redding and Andrew J. Junga
A Flexible Port Traffic Planning Model
Randall R. Gibson, Beth C. Carpenter, and Scott P. Seeburger
A General Rapid Transit Simulation Model with Both Automatic and Manual Train Control
Onala M. Atala, Joseph C. Brill, and John S. Carson

Air Transportation Applications

Modeling Human Behavior in Aircraft Evacuations
James E. Schroeder, Michael Grant, and Megan L. Tuttle
Analysis of Airport/Airline Operations Using Simulation
Sandra Turner Gantt
Simulation of a Combination Carrier Air Cargo Hub
Paul DeLorme, Joseph Procter, Sundar Swaminathan, and Todd Tillinghast

Applications of Performance Improvement or Optimization Methodology

Simulation Modeling of a Trunked Radio Network
Jastej S. Dhingra, Rakesh C. Mehta, Gilmer L. Blankenship, and Abraham Sharon
Customer Service Evaluation in the Telephone Service Provisioning Process
Shinya Ozeki and Noriyuki Ikeuchi
Optimization of a Corn-Processing Simulation Model
David Humphrey and Julius Chu

Communications Systems

Hierarchical Rapid Modeling of Picture Archiving and Communications Systems Using LANNET II.5 and NETWORK II.5
Emil Wirsz, Fred W. Prior, Glenn A. Meredith, and Kenneth R. Anderson
A Parallel Simulator for Performance Modelling of Broadband Telecommunication Networks
Richard W. Earnshaw and Alan Hind
Approach to Nation-Wide Network Simulation Making Virtual Reality for Telecommunication Network Management
Haruhisa Hasegawa and Akiya Inoue